Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 18-9-2
6–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 18-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
2619310625
COL
0607219232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
WPG 18-9-2 · COL 18-10-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
Jets beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.9 expected goals); the Jets won 6–2. Ivan Prosvetov allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 32 shots on goal.
WPG 2.9 xG · 25 shots
COL 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 13:56 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 15:38 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 08:43 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 02:07 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 03:40 · 4–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 08:48 · 5–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
· 3rd 10:41 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 17:57 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 50.
WPG 50%COL 50%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 13:56 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 15:38 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 08:43 · GWG · 3–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Drouin · 3rd 02:07 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 03:40 · 4–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 08:48 · 5–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
· 3rd 10:41 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 17:57 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–0
3rd period
7
Valeri Nichushkin, Nathan MacKinnon · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–2
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.