Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 20-9-3
5–1
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 19-6-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
110211212533
BOS
0607112125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 20-9-3 · BOS 19-6-6 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Bruins
The Jets earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
WPG 3.6 xG · 33 shots
BOS 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
1.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Morrissey · 1st 19:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 11:17 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 17:41 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Adam Lowry · 3rd 01:25 · 4–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Brandon Carlo · 3rd 14:22 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 19:41 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 68.
WPG 68%BOS 32%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Morrissey · 1st 19:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 11:17 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 17:41 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Adam Lowry · 3rd 01:25 · 4–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Brandon Carlo · 3rd 14:22 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 19:41 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Nikolaj Ehlers, Mark Scheifele · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.