Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 23-9-4
4–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 18-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
0728213428
TBL
11101419234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
WPG 23-9-4 · TBL 18-16-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
Jets beat the Lightning
The Jets earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 3.0, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 3.0, on 28 and 34 shots on goal.
WPG 4.0 xG · 28 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
2.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 06:18 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Neal Pionk · 2nd 04:44 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 09:13 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 15:13 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Morgan Barron · 3rd 17:53 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:23 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 63.
WPG 63%TBL 37%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Steven Stamkos · 1st 06:18 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Neal Pionk · 2nd 04:44 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 09:13 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 15:13 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (38%)
5
Morgan Barron · 3rd 17:53 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
6
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:23 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Cole Perfetti, Vladislav Namestnikov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.