Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 30-12-5
2–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 25-14-8
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
1701217226
TOR
1801438430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–2
WPG 30-12-5 · TOR 25-14-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–2
Jets fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Jets lost 2–4. The Maple Leafs scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 26 and 30 shots on goal.
WPG 2.8 xG · 26 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
1.3 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Samberg · 1st 04:13 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Reaves · 1st 19:11 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 3rd 01:54 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:28 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Simon Benoit · 3rd 18:22 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:48 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (47%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 46.
WPG 46%TOR 54%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Samberg · 1st 04:13 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Reaves · 1st 19:11 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
John Tavares · 3rd 01:54 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:28 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Simon Benoit · 3rd 18:22 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:48 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (47%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.