Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 41-19-5
2–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 38-25-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
01007212229
NSH
21001929438
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets trail the season series 1–2
WPG 41-19-5 · NSH 38-25-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets trail the season series 1–2
Jets fell to the Predators
The Jets were outchanced (2.7 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost 2–4. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 38 and 29 shots on goal.
WPG 2.1 xG · 29 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 38 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 06:38 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 14:32 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 01:29 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jason Zucker · 3rd 01:51 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex Iafallo · 3rd 13:12 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:49 · 2–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 40.
WPG 40%NSH 60%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 06:38 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Kiefer Sherwood · 1st 14:32 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 01:29 · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jason Zucker · 3rd 01:51 · 0–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Alex Iafallo · 3rd 13:12 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:49 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
5
Brenden Dillon, Vladislav Namestnikov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.