WPG
2–3
OTT
Final · L
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 44-24-6
2–3
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 33-36-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
04111115230
OTT
0629112327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 44-24-6 · OTT 33-36-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets fell to the Senators
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Jets lost 2–3. Tkachuk's winner came with 1:45 left. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
WPG 3.0 xG · 30 shots
OTT 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd
1.6 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 01:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
· 2nd 03:39 · 1–1 · snap shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 13:25 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 09:48 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:15 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 52.
WPG 52%OTT 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 01:58 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
· 2nd 03:39 · 1–1
Snap shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
3
Ridly Greig · 2nd 13:25 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 09:48 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:15 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
