WPG
5–2
CGY
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 46-24-6
5–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 34-36-5
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
217116212545
CGY
18115010233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets trail the season series 1–2
WPG 46-24-6 · CGY 34-36-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets trail the season series 1–2
Jets beat the Flames
The Jets earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 1.9, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Jets scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 45 and 33 shots on goal.
WPG 3.2 xG · 45 shots
CGY 1.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 04:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 12:59 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 14:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
· 2nd 10:34 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 15:35 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 08:44 · 4–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 18:56 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 71.
WPG 71%CGY 29%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
MacKenzie Weegar · 1st 04:35 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 12:59 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 14:56 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
· 2nd 10:34 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 15:35 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 08:44 · 4–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 18:56 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Jonathan Huberdeau, Andrei Kuzmenko · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
5
Vladislav Namestnikov, Nikolaj Ehlers · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
6
Josh Morrissey, Neal Pionk · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–2
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
