WPG
7–6
COL
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-0
7–6
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
381936723
COL
314011321646
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Jets lead the series 1–0
WPG 1-0 · COL 0-1 · Game 1 — the Jets lead the series 1–0
Jets beat the Avalanche
The Jets were outchanced (3.7 to 2.8 expected goals) but won 7–6 anyway. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 46 and 23 shots on goal.
WPG 2.8 xG · 23 shots
COL 3.7 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
1.2 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 06:10 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 08:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 11:57 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Miles Wood · 1st 14:47 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 15:05 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mark Scheifele · 1st 15:53 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Adam Lowry · 2nd 08:57 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Adam Lowry · 3rd 03:31 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Kyle Connor · 3rd 05:51 · 6–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
10
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 06:29 · 6–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Kyle Connor · 3rd 08:54 · 7–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
12
Cale Makar · 3rd 12:24 · 7–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
13
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 19:30 · 7–6 · bat shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 37.
WPG 37%COL 63%
Goals and penalties
13 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 06:10 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 08:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Vladislav Namestnikov · 1st 11:57 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Miles Wood · 1st 14:47 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 15:05 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Mark Scheifele · 1st 15:53 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Adam Lowry · 2nd 08:57 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Adam Lowry · 3rd 03:31 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
9
Kyle Connor · 3rd 05:51 · PP · 6–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
10
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 06:29 · PP · 6–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
11
Kyle Connor · 3rd 08:54 · GWG · 7–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
12
Cale Makar · 3rd 12:24 · PP · 7–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
13
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 19:30 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 7–6
Bat shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
40/46 saves · 6 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/23 saves · 7 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
