WPG
3–6
COL
Final · L
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-4
3–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
17118111336
COL
11321138632
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Jets trail the series 1–4
WPG 1-4 · COL 4-1 · Game 5 — the Jets trail the series 1–4
Jets fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.1 expected goals); the Jets lost 3–6. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 32 shots on goal.
WPG 2.3 xG · 36 shots
COL 2.1 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 01:15 · 1–0
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 03:18 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 05:42 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 06:48 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 13:45 · 2–3
6
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 02:06 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:11 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:01 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Josh Manson · 3rd 19:58 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 54.
WPG 54%COL 46%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 01:15 · 1–0
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 03:18 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Yakov Trenin · 2nd 05:42 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 06:48 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 13:45 · 2–3
6
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 02:06 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 04:11 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:01 · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Josh Manson · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
