WPG
4–6
TOR
Final · L
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 8-1-0
4–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
062928423
TOR
21931314636
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
WPG 8-1-0 · TOR 5-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
Jets fell to the Maple Leafs
The Jets were outchanced (2.7 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 4–6. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 36 and 23 shots on goal.
WPG 1.8 xG · 23 shots
TOR 2.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.1 · 1.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 11:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 17:47 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:56 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 03:25 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Kyle Connor · 2nd 06:19 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 2nd 11:25 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
John Tavares · 2nd 17:53 · 2–5 · bat shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 07:36 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 16:13 · 4–5 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
10
John Tavares · 3rd 19:35 · 4–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 35.
WPG 35%TOR 65%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 11:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 17:47 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:56 · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
4
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 03:25 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Kyle Connor · 2nd 06:19 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 2nd 11:25 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
7
John Tavares · 2nd 17:53 · GWG · 2–5
Bat shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 07:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 16:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–5
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
10
John Tavares · 3rd 19:35 · EN · 4–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
