WPG
6–3
FLA
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 16-3-0
6–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
25111311627
FLA
081728323
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 16-3-0 · FLA 12-6-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets beat the Panthers
The Jets earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.8, and a 6–3 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.8, on 27 and 23 shots on goal.
WPG 3.3 xG · 27 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 14:13 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 1st 17:40 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 15:41 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
A.J. Greer · 2nd 17:24 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 07:10 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 09:46 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 16:38 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:23 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:44 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 59.
WPG 59%FLA 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 14:13 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 1st 17:40 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 15:41 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
A.J. Greer · 2nd 17:24 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 07:10 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 09:46 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 16:38 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:23 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:44 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
