WPG
2–4
DET
Final · L
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 27-12-2
2–4
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 17-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
0711016223
DET
1171329429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 27-12-2 · DET 17-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.0 expected goals); the Jets lost 2–4. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 23 and 29 shots on goal.
WPG 2.4 xG · 23 shots
DET 2.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd
0.8 · 0.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 06:25 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 04:33 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 05:48 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 07:14 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 16:45 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:31 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 58.
WPG 58%DET 42%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 06:25 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Lucas Raymond · 2nd 04:33 · PP · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 2nd 05:48 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 3rd 07:14 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 16:45 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 19:31 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Neal Pionk, Vladislav Namestnikov · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
