Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 28-12-2
5–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 13-21-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
31101029530
NSH
01016112228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
WPG 28-12-2 · NSH 13-21-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
Jets beat the Predators
The Jets were outchanced (3.9 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 28 and 30 shots on goal.
WPG 2.2 xG · 30 shots
NSH 3.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Barron · 1st 06:30 · 1–0
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 06:46 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 18:36 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 16:45 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 07:51 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Roman Josi · 3rd 09:25 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 17:55 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 26.
WPG 26%NSH 74%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Barron · 1st 06:30 · 1–0
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 06:46 · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 18:36 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 16:45 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 07:51 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Roman Josi · 3rd 09:25 · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nino Niederreiter · 3rd 17:55 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Roman Josi, Jonathan Marchessault · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.