Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 31-13-3
1–3
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 22-16-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
012011116139
CGY
1611016322
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 31-13-3 · CGY 22-16-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets fell to the Flames
The Jets created the better chances (3.6 to 1.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Dustin Wolf stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.3, on 39 and 22 shots on goal.
WPG 3.6 xG · 39 shots
CGY 1.3 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 13:32 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 15:14 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Adam Lowry · 3rd 02:15 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 18:55 · 1–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 85.
WPG 85%CGY 15%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matt Coronato · 1st 13:32 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrei Kuzmenko · 2nd 15:14 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Adam Lowry · 3rd 02:15 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 18:55 · EN · 1–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.