Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 33-14-3
5–2
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 21-20-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
11011138529
UTA
051915219
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
WPG 33-14-3 · UTA 21-20-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
Jets beat the Mammoth
The Jets earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Connor Ingram allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 29 and 19 shots on goal.
WPG 2.9 xG · 29 shots
UTA 1.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cole Perfetti · 1st 17:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 01:13 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
David Gustafsson · 2nd 08:48 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Barrett Hayton · 3rd 01:19 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 05:51 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 12:16 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 18:15 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 68.
WPG 68%UTA 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cole Perfetti · 1st 17:52 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Nick Schmaltz · 2nd 01:13 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
David Gustafsson · 2nd 08:48 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Barrett Hayton · 3rd 01:19 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 05:51 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
6
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 12:16 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 18:15 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.