WPG
5–2
CGY
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 34-14-3
5–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 24-17-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
192929527
CGY
0311217222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
WPG 34-14-3 · CGY 24-17-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
Jets beat the Flames
The Jets earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Dan Vladar allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 27 and 22 shots on goal.
WPG 2.7 xG · 27 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 05:28 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mason Appleton · 2nd 10:17 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 15:08 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 19:09 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 03:07 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 04:27 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 07:08 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 62.
WPG 62%CGY 38%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 05:28 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Mason Appleton · 2nd 10:17 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
MacKenzie Weegar · 2nd 15:08 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 19:09 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 03:07 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 04:27 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 07:08 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Yegor Sharangovich, Jonathan Huberdeau · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
