WPG
4–3
NYI
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 39-14-3
4–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 25-22-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
1931206427
NYI
2907119335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 39-14-3 · NYI 25-22-7 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Islanders
The Jets were outchanced (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Ilya Sorokin allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
WPG 2.5 xG · 27 shots
NYI 3.5 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 01:05 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Iafallo · 1st 04:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 12:07 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 04:23 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 14:50 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 18:18 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 11:07 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 35.
WPG 35%NYI 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Simon Holmstrom · 1st 01:05 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Iafallo · 1st 04:27 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 12:07 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 04:23 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 14:50 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 18:18 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Kyle Palmieri · 3rd 11:07 · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (61%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
