Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 49-19-4
3–2
Final / OTW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 47-15-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WPG
18170911325
WSH
1601211100229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
WPG 49-19-4 · WSH 47-15-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
Jets beat the Capitals
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.2 expected goals); the Jets won it in overtime on Ehlers's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.2, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
WPG 2.2 xG · 25 shots
WSH 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Josh Morrissey · 1st 06:50 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 19:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mason Appleton · 2nd 19:48 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:00 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · OT 01:28 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 50.
WPG 50%WSH 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Josh Morrissey · 1st 06:50 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 19:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Mason Appleton · 2nd 19:48 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:00 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · OT 01:28 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.