Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 4-3
4–3
Final / OTW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 3-4
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
WPG
0311021501910447
STL
2719040900329
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Jets lead the series 4–3
WPG 4-3 · STL 3-4 · Game 7 — the Jets lead the series 4–3
Jets beat the Blues
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Jets erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Perfetti's equalizer with 0:03 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Lowry's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 47 and 29 shots on goal.
WPG 3.2 xG · 47 shots
STL 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.1 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
OT
1.2 · 0.9
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 01:10 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 07:16 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 11:41 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Radek Faksa · 2nd 19:25 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 18:04 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 19:57 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Adam Lowry · 2OT 16:10 · 4–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 57.
WPG 57%STL 43%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Kyrou · 1st 01:10 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (28%)
2
Mathieu Joseph · 1st 07:16 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 11:41 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Radek Faksa · 2nd 19:25 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 18:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 19:57 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Adam Lowry · 2OT 16:10 · GWG · 4–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
43/47 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.