Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 4-4
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
01328010231
DAL
0123804324
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Jets trail the series 0–1
WPG 4-4 · DAL 5-3 · Game 1 — the Jets trail the series 0–1
Jets fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.6 expected goals); the Jets lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
WPG 2.6 xG · 31 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 03:30 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 08:43 · 1–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 14:21 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:38 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 17:35 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 50.
WPG 50%DAL 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nino Niederreiter · 2nd 03:30 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 08:43 · 1–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (69%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 14:21 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:38 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 17:35 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.