Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 5-4
4–0
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
2131616425
DAL
070905021
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
WPG 5-4 · DAL 5-4 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Jets beat the Stars
The Jets earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 25 and 21 shots on goal.
WPG 3.2 xG · 25 shots
DAL 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 03:35 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (40%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 07:07 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Adam Lowry · 2nd 11:02 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 16:20 · 4–0 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 70.
WPG 70%DAL 30%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 03:35 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (40%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 07:07 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Adam Lowry · 2nd 11:02 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 16:20 · EN · 4–0
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/21 saves · 0 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.