Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 6-6
4–0
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 7-5
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
011111313435
DAL
0405013022
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Jets trail the series 2–3
WPG 6-6 · DAL 7-5 · Game 5 — the Jets trail the series 2–3
Jets beat the Stars
The Jets earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
WPG 3.3 xG · 35 shots
DAL 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 06:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 02:20 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 12:07 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 19:15 · 4–0 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 70.
WPG 70%DAL 30%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 06:17 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 02:20 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 12:07 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 4–0
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/22 saves · 0 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.