Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 6-2-0
5–3
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 1-7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
05416111532
CGY
1919115333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
WPG 6-2-0 · CGY 1-7-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–0
Jets beat the Flames
The Jets were outchanced (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 5–3 anyway. Dustin Wolf allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 32 shots on goal.
WPG 2.9 xG · 32 shots
CGY 3.4 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 05:18 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 05:19 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jonathan Toews · 2nd 06:24 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 09:50 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 13:56 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 18:50 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 08:27 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 19:52 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 42.
WPG 42%CGY 58%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 18 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 05:18 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 05:19 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Jonathan Toews · 2nd 06:24 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 09:50 · PP · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 13:56 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Alex Iafallo · 2nd 18:50 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Blake Coleman · 3rd 08:27 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:19
Nikita Chibrikov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:40
Dylan DeMelo· Tripping
Kadri scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
06:03
Adam Klapka· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
06:03
Logan Stanley· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:33
Matt Coronato· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:37
Adam Klapka· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:45
Ryan Lomberg· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:45
Nikita Chibrikov· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
06:24
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:30
Kevin Bahl· Holding
Vilardi scored on this power play
Minor
4
Mark Scheifele, Josh Morrissey · Power play (Bahl, holding) · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:01
Rasmus Andersson· Holding
Iafallo scored on this power play
Minor
6
Gabriel Vilardi, Mark Scheifele · Power play (Andersson, holding) · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Nino Niederreiter· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:55
Morgan Frost· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:40
Tanner Pearson· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:59
Jonathan Huberdeau· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:17
Nino Niederreiter· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:30
Matt Coronato· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:10
Haydn Fleury· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Jets went 2-for-8 on the power play and allowed 1 on 6 Flames power plays.