Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 6-3-0
2–3
FinalL
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 8-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
0828014230
UTA
06216110332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
WPG 6-3-0 · UTA 8-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
Jets fell to the Mammoth
The Jets created the better chances (3.5 to 3.0 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Vitek Vanecek stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 3.0, on 30 and 32 shots on goal.
WPG 3.5 xG · 30 shots
UTA 3.0 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.8
3rd
1.3 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan DeMelo · 2nd 00:45 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 10:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Michael Carcone · 2nd 11:07 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 15:09 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 14:24 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 58.
WPG 58%UTA 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan DeMelo · 2nd 00:45 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 10:03 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Michael Carcone · 2nd 11:07 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 15:09 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 14:24 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.