WPG
4–1
BUF
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 14-12-1
4–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
182916423
BUF
11501109135
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 14-12-1 · BUF 11-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets beat the Sabres
The Jets were outchanced (3.5 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Eric Comrie stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
WPG 2.1 xG · 23 shots
BUF 3.5 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd
1.2 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 04:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 14:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tanner Pearson · 2nd 02:22 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Cole Koepke · 2nd 18:42 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 19:26 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 28.
WPG 28%BUF 72%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 04:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jason Zucker · 1st 14:44 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tanner Pearson · 2nd 02:22 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Cole Koepke · 2nd 18:42 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Gabriel Vilardi · 3rd 19:26 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Gabriel Vilardi, Dylan Samberg · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:40
Morgan Barron· Tripping
Morgan Barron· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:25
Jonathan Toews· Tripping
Jonathan Toews· Tripping
Zucker scored on this power play
Minor
2
Josh Norris, Rasmus Dahlin · Power play (Toews, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:18
Bowen Byram· Hooking
Bowen Byram· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:13
Logan Stanley· Roughing
Logan Stanley· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:13
Jordan Greenway· Roughing
Jordan Greenway· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
10:18
Rasmus Dahlin· Ps hooking on breakaway
Rasmus Dahlin· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
3rd period
Goaltending
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Jets went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Sabres power plays.