WPG
4–1
TBL
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 25-26-10
4–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 38-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
0821428430
TBL
0507115127
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 25-26-10 · TBL 38-18-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets beat the Lightning
The Jets earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.7, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
WPG 3.1 xG · 30 shots
TBL 1.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.1
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Barron · 2nd 15:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 19:42 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 01:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 05:34 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 17:59 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 73.
WPG 73%TBL 27%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Barron · 2nd 15:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 19:42 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brayden Point · 3rd 01:52 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 05:34 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Kyle Connor · 3rd 17:59 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:14
Anthony Cirelli· Hooking
Anthony Cirelli· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:40
Connor Hellebuyck· Tripping
Connor Hellebuyck· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:57
Brandon Hagel· Tripping
Brandon Hagel· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:45
Elias Salomonsson· High-sticking
Elias Salomonsson· High-sticking
Point scored on this power play
Minor
3
Jake Guentzel, Darren Raddysh · Power play (Salomonsson, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
2–1
Goaltending
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Jets went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Lightning power plays.