WPG 3–1 COL Final · W
Jets/Schedule/Recap Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 27-28-10
3–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 44-12-9
1ST2ND3RDT WPG 052717319 COL 0808113129 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 27-28-10 · COL 44-12-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1

Jets beat the Avalanche

The Jets were outchanced (3.2 to 1.1 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. The Avalanche owned the 3rd period, 1.6 to 0.2 in expected goals.

Who had the better chances

The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.1, on 29 and 19 shots on goal.

WPG 1.1 xG · 19 shots COL 3.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.2 · 0.7
2nd 0.8 · 0.9
3rd · the swing 0.2 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 16.
WPG 16%COL 84%

Goals and penalties

4 goals · 3 penalties
← Jets shoot this way Avalanche shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
10:12 Brock Nelson· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
19:39 Mark Scheifele· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
1
02:05 Kyle Connor
Mark Scheifele · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1–0
2
11:52 Alex Iafallo GWG
Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2–0
3rd period
PEN
00:15 Jacob Bryson· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
18:44 Martin Necas EXTRA ATTACKER
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2–1
4
19:18 Cole Perfetti EN
Unassisted · wrist shot, into an empty net
3–1
Goaltending
+0.8
vs expected
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
−0.7
vs expected
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team WPGCOL
Shots on goal
19
29
Expected goals
1.1
3.2
Hits
20
17
Blocks
7
27
Faceoffs
43%
57%
Power play
0/1
0/2
Penalty minutes
4
2
The Jets went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Avalanche power plays.