WPG
3–4
NSH
Final / SO · L
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 28-28-11
3–4
Final / SOL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 30-28-9
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WPG
11411219040339
NSH
171816021423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
WPG 28-28-11 · NSH 30-28-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
Jets fell to the Predators
The Jets created the better chances (3.4 to 1.4 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.4, on 39 and 23 shots on goal.
WPG 3.4 xG · 39 shots
NSH 1.4 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.2
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Haula · 1st 13:02 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 19:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 05:09 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 10:48 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Wood · 3rd 14:01 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Jonathan Toews · 3rd 18:59 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 82.
WPG 82%NSH 18%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Haula · 1st 13:02 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 19:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 05:09 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
4
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 10:48 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Wood · 3rd 14:01 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Jonathan Toews · 3rd 18:59 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:14
Dylan DeMelo· Tripping
Dylan DeMelo· Tripping
Haula scored on this power play
Minor
1
Roman Josi, Luke Evangelista · Power play (DeMelo, tripping) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:15
Ryan Ufko· Holding
Ryan Ufko· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:59
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Vilardi scored on this power play
Minor
3
Cole Perfetti, Kyle Connor · Power play (Forsberg, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:47
Jonathan Marchessault· Tripping
Jonathan Marchessault· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:54
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
5
Jonathan Marchessault, Filip Forsberg · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–3
Shootout
1
Gabriel Vilardi
Save
Gabriel Vilardi
Save2
Ryan O'Reilly
Goal
Ryan O'Reilly
Goal3
Mark Scheifele
Miss
Mark Scheifele
Miss4
Filip Forsberg
Miss
Filip Forsberg
Miss5
Kyle Connor
Miss
Kyle Connor
Miss
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Jets went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Predators power play.