ANA
4–3
OTT
Final / SO · W
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 10-10-3
4–3
Final / SOW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-12-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
ANA
21101316041434
OTT
18111110020331
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 10-10-3 · OTT 10-12-2 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Senators
The Ducks were outchanced (4.3 to 3.0 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 34 shots on goal.
ANA 3.0 xG · 34 shots
OTT 4.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.7
3rd
0.3 · 0.9
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Frank Vatrano · 1st 14:45 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 17:36 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jackson LaCombe · 1st 19:54 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 00:37 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 04:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Nick Cousins · 3rd 05:46 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 32.
ANA 32%OTT 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Frank Vatrano · 1st 14:45 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 17:36 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jackson LaCombe · 1st 19:54 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 00:37 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 04:37 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Nick Cousins · 3rd 05:46 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Ducks
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
