Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 13-7-1
2–3
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 10-6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
03212010225
OTT
11011015325
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
ANA 13-7-1 · OTT 10-6-4 · First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
Ducks fell to the Senators
The Ducks were outchanced (2.9 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Batherson's winner came with 1:58 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
ANA 2.3 xG · 25 shots
OTT 2.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 16:39 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Beckett Sennecke · 2nd 13:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Mason McTavish · 2nd 14:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 19:02 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Drake Batherson · 3rd 18:02 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 40.
ANA 40%OTT 60%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Cousins · 1st 16:39 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Beckett Sennecke · 2nd 13:08 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Mason McTavish · 2nd 14:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 19:02 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Drake Batherson · 3rd 18:02 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:45
Jake Sanderson· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:47
Beckett Sennecke· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:02
Nick Cousins· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:55
Leo Carlsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:08
Mason McTavish· Interference
Pinto scored on this power play
Minor
4
Stephen Halliday, David Perron · Power play (McTavish, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2–2
3rd period
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Ducks went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Senators power plays.