BOS
5–2
CAR
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 2-2
5–2
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
1611339528
CAR
11016010226
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
BOS 2-2 · CAR 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Bruins beat the Hurricanes
The Bruins earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Bruins owned the 2nd period, 2.5 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 28 and 26 shots on goal.
BOS 3.6 xG · 28 shots
CAR 2.5 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
2.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brett Pesce · 1st 14:06 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Patrice Bergeron · 1st 16:09 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 00:33 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 18:44 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Brad Marchand · 3rd 00:43 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 05:41 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 19:25 · 5–2 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 68.
BOS 68%CAR 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brett Pesce · 1st 14:06 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Patrice Bergeron · 1st 16:09 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 00:33 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 18:44 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
5
Brad Marchand · 3rd 00:43 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 05:41 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 19:25 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
