Boston Bruins
BOS · 20-3-0
5–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 13-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
213115212540
COL
0140516125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
BOS 20-3-0 · COL 13-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
Bruins beat the Avalanche
The Bruins earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Pavel Francouz allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 40 and 25 shots on goal.
BOS 3.6 xG · 40 shots
COL 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.2
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 13:49 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Trent Frederic · 1st 18:51 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 04:48 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 06:32 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Trent Frederic · 3rd 15:32 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 15:42 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 78.
BOS 78%COL 22%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 13:49 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Trent Frederic · 1st 18:51 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 04:48 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
4
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 06:32 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Trent Frederic · 3rd 15:32 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 15:42 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.