Boston Bruins
BOS · 33-5-4
4–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-11-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
11521316434
TOR
1511214321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BOS 33-5-4 · TOR 26-11-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Bruins beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Bruins won 4–3. Grzelcyk's winner came with 1:16 left. Matt Murray allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
BOS 2.8 xG · 34 shots
TOR 2.5 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 04:45 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Patrice Bergeron · 1st 15:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 02:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 05:52 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
A.J. Greer · 2nd 10:33 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 03:17 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Matt Grzelcyk · 3rd 18:44 · 4–3 · slap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 55.
BOS 55%TOR 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 04:45 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Patrice Bergeron · 1st 15:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Pierre Engvall · 2nd 02:43 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 05:52 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
A.J. Greer · 2nd 10:33 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 03:17 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Matt Grzelcyk · 3rd 18:44 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Taylor Hall, Brandon Carlo · slap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.