BOS
3–1
FLA
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 1-0
3–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
1828013329
FLA
0151908132
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Bruins lead the series 1–0
BOS 1-0 · FLA 0-1 · Game 1 — the Bruins lead the series 1–0
Bruins beat the Panthers
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.5 expected goals); the Bruins won 3–1. Linus Ullmark stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 32 shots on goal.
BOS 2.6 xG · 29 shots
FLA 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
1.1 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 05:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Brad Marchand · 2nd 03:41 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 17:32 · 3–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 51.
BOS 51%FLA 49%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 05:58 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
2
Brad Marchand · 2nd 03:41 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 06:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 17:32 · 3–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
