Boston Bruins
BOS · 3-2
3–4
Final / OTL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BOS
0911821604347
FLA
18181613425
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Bruins lead the series 3–2
BOS 3-2 · FLA 2-3 · Game 5 — the Bruins lead the series 3–2
Bruins fell to the Panthers
The Bruins created the better chances (3.9 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Tkachuk's goal. Linus Ullmark allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 47 and 25 shots on goal.
BOS 3.9 xG · 47 shots
FLA 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Anthony Duclair · 1st 08:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Brad Marchand · 2nd 02:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
Sam Bennett · 2nd 18:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Patrice Bergeron · 3rd 04:33 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 05:14 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Taylor Hall · 3rd 09:16 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · OT 06:05 · 3–4 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 73.
BOS 73%FLA 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Anthony Duclair · 1st 08:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Brad Marchand · 2nd 02:27 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
3
Sam Bennett · 2nd 18:52 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Patrice Bergeron · 3rd 04:33 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 05:14 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Taylor Hall · 3rd 09:16 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Tkachuk · OT 06:05 · GWG · 3–4
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
44/47 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.