Boston Bruins
BOS · 2-0-0
3–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 1-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
11111118330
NSH
11511308236
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
BOS 2-0-0 · NSH 1-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
Bruins beat the Predators
The Bruins were outchanced (4.3 to 3.1 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Jeremy Swayman stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 36 and 30 shots on goal.
BOS 3.1 xG · 30 shots
NSH 4.3 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.3
2nd
1.1 · 1.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Colton Sissons · 1st 03:29 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 14:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 14:46 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
4
Colton Sissons · 2nd 16:54 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 02:52 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 33.
BOS 33%NSH 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Colton Sissons · 1st 03:29 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 14:48 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 14:46 · PS · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (35%)
4
Colton Sissons · 2nd 16:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 02:52 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.