Boston Bruins
BOS · 14-2-3
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 10-6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
0911117227
DET
2811129528
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
BOS 14-2-3 · DET 10-6-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
Bruins fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Bruins lost 2–5. Jeremy Swayman allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
BOS 3.0 xG · 27 shots
DET 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.0
2nd
1.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 05:13 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 15:01 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 03:00 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 13:24 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Danton Heinen · 3rd 04:12 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 05:08 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
David Perron · 3rd 18:15 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 53.
BOS 53%DET 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 05:13 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 15:01 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 03:00 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 13:24 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Danton Heinen · 3rd 04:12 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Dylan Larkin · 3rd 05:08 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
7
David Perron · 3rd 18:15 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
David Pastrnak, Pavel Zacha · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.