Boston Bruins
BOS · 24-8-6
7–3
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 19-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
21121134726
TBL
1132508326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BOS 24-8-6 · TBL 19-17-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Bruins beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.9 expected goals); the Bruins won 7–3. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 26 and 26 shots on goal.
BOS 3.2 xG · 26 shots
TBL 2.9 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Point · 1st 00:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Trent Frederic · 1st 04:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 14:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Trent Frederic · 2nd 01:49 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 07:53 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
David Pastrnak · 2nd 08:23 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Brayden Point · 2nd 15:53 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 01:35 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 16:34 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 17:14 · 7–3 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 55.
BOS 55%TBL 45%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Point · 1st 00:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Trent Frederic · 1st 04:42 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Charlie McAvoy · 1st 14:56 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Trent Frederic · 2nd 01:49 · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 07:53 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
David Pastrnak · 2nd 08:23 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Brayden Point · 2nd 15:53 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 01:35 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 16:34 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 17:14 · 7–3
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (39%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Matt Grzelcyk, Matthew Poitras · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/25 saves · 6 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.