Boston Bruins
BOS · 29-9-9
2–3
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 26-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
0807213228
CAR
110113110333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins trail the season series 0–1
BOS 29-9-9 · CAR 26-15-5 · First meeting this season — the Bruins trail the season series 0–1
Bruins fell to the Hurricanes
Chances were even (2.9 to 3.0 expected goals); the Bruins lost 2–3. Martinook's winner came with 2:27 left. The Hurricanes scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.0, on 28 and 33 shots on goal.
BOS 2.9 xG · 28 shots
CAR 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.3
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 18:04 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 11:50 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Brad Marchand · 3rd 01:30 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 07:20 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 17:33 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 49.
BOS 49%CAR 51%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 18:04 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 11:50 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Brad Marchand · 3rd 01:30 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 07:20 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 17:33 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.