BOS
4–1
TOR
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 37-13-15
4–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 36-19-8
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
1931204425
TOR
07112010129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Bruins lead the season series 4–0
BOS 37-13-15 · TOR 36-19-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Bruins lead the season series 4–0
Bruins beat the Maple Leafs
The Bruins earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 29 shots on goal.
BOS 3.2 xG · 25 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.2
2nd
1.2 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 05:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Trent Frederic · 2nd 04:16 · 2–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (13%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 07:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 17:16 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 18:23 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 64.
BOS 64%TOR 36%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 05:37 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Trent Frederic · 2nd 04:16 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (13%)
3
Mitch Marner · 2nd 07:56 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 17:16 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 18:23 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
