Boston Bruins
BOS · 46-18-15
1–4
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 50-22-7
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
0416013123
CAR
0421527426
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
BOS 46-18-15 · CAR 50-22-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Bruins trail the season series 1–2
Bruins fell to the Hurricanes
The Bruins were outchanced (3.3 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 1–4. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.5 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 26 and 23 shots on goal.
BOS 1.5 xG · 23 shots
CAR 3.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 10:55 · 0–1 · cradle shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 13:05 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Charlie McAvoy · 2nd 16:56 · 1–2 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 10:14 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 13:22 · 1–4 · wrap around shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 20.
BOS 20%CAR 80%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 10:55 · 0–1
Cradle shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 13:05 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Charlie McAvoy · 2nd 16:56 · 1–2
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 10:14 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 13:22 · SH · 1–4
Wrap around shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.