BOS
5–1
TOR
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 1-0
5–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
1133913525
TOR
011013112136
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Bruins lead the series 1–0
BOS 1-0 · TOR 0-1 · Game 1 — the Bruins lead the series 1–0
Bruins beat the Maple Leafs
The Bruins were outchanced (3.0 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Jeremy Swayman stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
BOS 2.2 xG · 25 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Beecher · 1st 02:26 · 1–0 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (13%)
2
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 05:47 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 15:02 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 17:34 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
David Kampf · 3rd 01:39 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Trent Frederic · 3rd 17:52 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 37.
BOS 37%TOR 63%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Beecher · 1st 02:26 · 1–0
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (13%)
2
Brandon Carlo · 2nd 05:47 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 15:02 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jake DeBrusk · 2nd 17:34 · PP · 4–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
David Kampf · 3rd 01:39 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Trent Frederic · 3rd 17:52 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
