Boston Bruins
BOS · 5-5
2–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 6-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
030529217
FLA
11321139633
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Bruins trail the series 1–2
BOS 5-5 · FLA 6-2 · Game 3 — the Bruins trail the series 1–2
Bruins fell to the Panthers
The Bruins were outchanced (2.7 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Jeremy Swayman allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 17 shots on goal.
BOS 1.6 xG · 17 shots
FLA 2.7 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.1 · 1.1
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 08:04 · 0–1 · bat shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 16:14 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:14 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Brandon Montour · 3rd 03:09 · 0–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jakub Lauko · 3rd 05:01 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 08:31 · 2–4 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 18:36 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 19:09 · 2–6 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 31.
BOS 31%FLA 69%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evan Rodrigues · 1st 08:04 · 0–1
Bat shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 16:14 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Carter Verhaeghe · 2nd 17:14 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Brandon Montour · 3rd 03:09 · PP · 0–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jakub Lauko · 3rd 05:01 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jake DeBrusk · 3rd 08:31 · 2–4
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 18:36 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 19:09 · PP · 2–6
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
2
Sam Bennett, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
3rd period
4
Matthew Tkachuk, Aleksander Barkov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–4
6
Mason Lohrei, David Pastrnak · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–4
No penalties
Goaltending
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.