Boston Bruins
BOS · 5-6
2–3
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
2501102218
FLA
015113213341
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Bruins trail the series 1–3
BOS 5-6 · FLA 7-2 · Game 4 — the Bruins trail the series 1–3
Bruins fell to the Panthers
The Bruins let a 2–0 lead get away: the Panthers came back with three unanswered goals — Bennett's equalizer — and won 2–3. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.2, on 41 and 18 shots on goal.
BOS 2.2 xG · 18 shots
FLA 4.3 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.2
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 08:53 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Brandon Carlo · 1st 15:12 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 14:48 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 03:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (66%)
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 07:31 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 21.
BOS 21%FLA 79%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 08:53 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Brandon Carlo · 1st 15:12 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Anton Lundell · 2nd 14:48 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 3rd 03:41 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (66%)
5
Aleksander Barkov · 3rd 07:31 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.