Boston Bruins
BOS · 3-4-1
2–5
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 6-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
11116010227
DAL
11331217532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins trail the season series 0–1
BOS 3-4-1 · DAL 6-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Bruins trail the season series 0–1
Bruins fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Bruins lost 2–5. Jeremy Swayman allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 32 shots on goal.
BOS 2.9 xG · 27 shots
DAL 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 1.1
2nd
0.7 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 11:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 16:20 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 00:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 04:57 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 08:59 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 10:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:58 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 58.
BOS 58%DAL 42%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Pastrnak · 1st 11:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
2
Matt Duchene · 1st 16:20 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jason Robertson · 2nd 00:31 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 04:57 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Tyler Seguin · 2nd 08:59 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 10:41 · PP · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Roope Hintz · 3rd 17:58 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.