BOS
4–3
TOR
Final / OT · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 4-4-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-4-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BOS
01031201012434
TOR
052111601323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
BOS 4-4-1 · TOR 4-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
Bruins beat the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.1 expected goals); the Bruins won it in overtime on Marchand's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 34 and 23 shots on goal.
BOS 3.3 xG · 34 shots
TOR 3.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.3
3rd
0.3 · 0.8
OT
0.8 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
David Pastrnak · 2nd 02:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:44 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 12:38 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 13:14 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:43 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Brad Marchand · OT 02:26 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (52%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 53.
BOS 53%TOR 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
David Pastrnak · 2nd 02:57 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Morgan Rielly · 2nd 07:44 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Justin Brazeau · 2nd 12:38 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Mark Kastelic · 2nd 13:14 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:43 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Brad Marchand · OT 02:26 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (52%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
