Boston Bruins
BOS · 13-11-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 10-11-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BOS
1120711412335
DET
160101900225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Bruins lead the season series 2–0
BOS 13-11-3 · DET 10-11-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Bruins lead the season series 2–0
Bruins beat the Red Wings
The Bruins were outchanced (2.4 to 1.6 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Zacha's goal anyway. Ville Husso allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Red Wings created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.6, on 25 and 35 shots on goal.
BOS 1.6 xG · 35 shots
DET 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 07:31 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Zadorov · 1st 09:15 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 01:19 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 09:32 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Pavel Zacha · OT 02:15 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 35.
BOS 35%DET 65%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Lucas Raymond · 1st 07:31 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Zadorov · 1st 09:15 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Lucas Raymond · 3rd 01:19 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Justin Brazeau · 3rd 09:32 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Pavel Zacha · OT 02:15 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.