BOS
3–1
BUF
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 18-13-4
3–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
160528319
BUF
081903120
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
BOS 18-13-4 · BUF 11-19-4 · First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
Bruins beat the Sabres
Chances were even (1.6 to 1.8 expected goals); the Bruins won 3–1. Geekie's winner came with 1:45 left. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 19 and 20 shots on goal.
BOS 1.6 xG · 19 shots
BUF 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Charlie Coyle · 1st 08:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 2nd 18:23 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 18:15 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 19:08 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 47.
BOS 47%BUF 53%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Charlie Coyle · 1st 08:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
JJ Peterka · 2nd 18:23 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 18:15 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Brad Marchand · 3rd 19:08 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
