BOS
4–1
WSH
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 19-13-4
4–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 23-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
160739422
WSH
031404111
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
BOS 19-13-4 · WSH 23-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Bruins lead the season series 1–0
Bruins beat the Capitals
The Bruins earned it: 2.5 expected goals to 1.4, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Bruins owned the 3rd period, 1.6 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Bruins created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.4, on 22 and 11 shots on goal.
BOS 2.5 xG · 22 shots
WSH 1.4 xG · 11 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.4 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Brazeau · 1st 19:12 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Jakub Vrana · 2nd 04:50 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 13:41 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 15:59 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Brad Marchand · 3rd 18:38 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 70.
BOS 70%WSH 30%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Brazeau · 1st 19:12 · PP · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
2
Jakub Vrana · 2nd 04:50 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 13:41 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Charlie Coyle · 3rd 15:59 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Brad Marchand · 3rd 18:38 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/11 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
