BOS
6–2
TBL
Final · W
Boston Bruins
BOS · 22-19-5
6–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 23-16-3
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS
2621226624
TBL
09220016245
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
BOS 22-19-5 · TBL 23-16-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Bruins beat the Lightning
The Bruins were outchanced (3.5 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 6–2 anyway. Jeremy Swayman stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 45 and 24 shots on goal.
BOS 2.6 xG · 24 shots
TBL 3.5 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trent Frederic · 1st 04:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Parker Wotherspoon · 1st 09:31 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brad Marchand · 2nd 01:13 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 06:05 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Conor Geekie · 2nd 08:50 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Victor Hedman · 2nd 19:42 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Andrew Peeke · 3rd 16:30 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
8
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 16:56 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Bruins win 36.
BOS 36%TBL 64%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Bruins shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trent Frederic · 1st 04:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Parker Wotherspoon · 1st 09:31 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Brad Marchand · 2nd 01:13 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
David Pastrnak · 2nd 06:05 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
5
Conor Geekie · 2nd 08:50 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Victor Hedman · 2nd 19:42 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Andrew Peeke · 3rd 16:30 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
8
Pavel Zacha · 3rd 16:56 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
43/45 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
